Investment Insights

Explore our in-depth analysis of U.S. consumer spending trends and credit conditions, and their impact on the U.S. economy heading into 2024. Learn how changes in these areas will shape the economic landscape.

Uncover how Japan’s spiking inflation and strengthening sectors are pushing the Bank of Japan to consider an end to negative interest rates.

Explore the key drivers behind the booming cybersecurity market and why it’s an appealing long-term investment in our digital age.

Explore the potential shift in global market dominance as emerging markets, contributing significantly to global GDP, may soon outpace developed markets.

Discover the factors driving the volatility in 2023’s energy markets and gain insights into future trends and potential investment strategies.

Explore the impact of surging long-term Treasury yields on the investment landscape and implications for asset allocation and the economy.

More than 50% of S&P500 companies have already reported in the U.S. Q2 earning season. 80% of the firms registered a positive EPS surprise. The question for most investors now, is whether the earnings growth results will keep driving positive global equity market dynamics for the 2nd half of the year.

Over the last 5 days in July, foreign investors added net ~49bn yuan worth of mainland stocks via trading links with Hong Kong. After lagging global peers over the past 12 months, is the tide finally turning for Chinese equities? We think so and continue to remain cautiously optimistic.

The ongoing fall in inflation coupled with tight, but weakening, labor markets are likely to lead to range bound credit yields in the near term. While this is also likely to push out rate cuts to 2H 2024, locking in yields, extending duration and selectivity on credit quality are key.

The SPR was established in the 1970s after the Arab oil embargo resulted in a global energy supply shock and a gasoline shortage in the US, leading to long delays at the pump.

Recent headwinds to oil are likely to become tailwinds.

The recent inflation declines have given the Fed space to pause, allowing the central bank to monitor the effects of its previous consecutive hikes.

The rally in U.S. equities this year has been dominated by mega-cap technology due to Q1 earnings and AI expectations. How much more can technology stocks rally?

Is Japan situated for near-term equity growth, and is the future of cryptocurrencies brighter than many in traditional finance realize?

Is cash is a safer choice than bonds? And stocks and municipal bonds struggle throughout May.

The Fed may be risking a policy error by overfocusing on lagging indicators and the case for investing in rare earths.

Why the debt ceiling doesn’t matter and how productivity and efficiency increases are at the core of why AI matters to businesses and economy.

Data from the past 50 years show two distinct regimes, pre-’89 and post-’89, with different results for investors. Falling inflation and stable labor market data may seem positive, but it could actually indicate a looming recession.

Insights on the current state of the small business sector and the impact that high interest rates, aftershocks of the banking crisis and a Covid work force exodus have had on the economy.

Treasury market is sensing a Fed policy pause on the horizon and big tech is still quality despite risks.

Miles Savitz, Junior Associate ChatGPT, along with a few other innovative AI technologies, has enthralled the world with its sophistication, and it appears we may be entering a new age of AI…

After last year’s -16% rout in global bonds, the start of 2023 saw corporate bond spreads tighten and yields fell, driven by the Fed’s openness to pause rates.

Gold warrants exposure in one’s overall asset allocation and cryptocurrencies may well outperform substantially in 2023. 

Last week the United States hit its $31.4 trillion debt limit, forcing the Treasury to begin implementing extraordinary measures to avoid a default on US debt.

The re-opening of China will be a driving positive force in growth.

The October CPI report has come and gone, cementing a feel-good quarter for markets. Headline CPI was 0.1% and core CPI was 0.2%.

Does the World Cup impact markets? What’s a “yield curve,” and what can it indicate for a future recession? Our investment insights this week cover both topics.

The FTX bankruptcy filing is the latest in the butterfly effect overhanging the future of crypto.

As part of our weekly series, our investment team members provide a brief overview of the U.S. economy, the Fed, and the Singapore markets.

Slowing job gains due to a curtailing in aggregate demand may bode well for quality growth names in Technology and Healthcare sectors. And why robotics is one of the most exciting innovative spaces.

Can the Fed achieve their policy goals without creating a recession and China’s COVID policies impact on equities are the focus in this weekly insight.

OPEC production and healthcare in a downturn market are the focus of this week’s investment insights.

Rising interest rates, the US labor market, and the UK fiscal measures are discussed by Leo’s investment team in this week’s insights.

The Federal Reserve’s eagerly anticipated September interest rate decision and summary economic projections are finally out.

Developments in the Russia / Ukraine war have spread optimism and the inflation report disappointed on most fronts.

Chinese ADRs and a bull case for metals are the focus of our weekly investment team’s insights.

Time to buy the Euro? U.S. housing market cooling underway.

Timing short-term market movements is a fool’s errand, so we will not pretend to know the next few weeks ahead

U.S. Labor Market Rebalancing Will Reign in Inflation. What Impact Will The CHIPS For America Act Have?

The Digital Assets Financial Crisis. Crypto’s Changing Role and Its Signal Today

Aleksey Mironenko Market corrections are tough to experience, but it is important to remember two things. They’re not permanent, and after night comes the dawn. Market booms are followed by busts, which…

Christos Charalambous,  Investment Director for the Americas U.S. and Global equities are fighting three battles simultaneously – slowing global growth, higher cost pressures, and rising interest rates. U.S. financial conditions are tightening…

Dividends have contributed 41% towards the S&P 500’s total return for 1930-2020. Thus, sustainable dividend income is a key factor for total return expectations.

This article covers what cryptocurrency entails, how it works, and the investment implications in this emerging asset class.

Russia launched a full-scale attack on Ukraine last week. After five days of heavy fighting whereby Russia initially focused on military targets, the attacks seem to have broadened.

In the past two weeks, global equity markets sold off, with some segments like the NASDAQ already in correction territory, down 13% from its peak in November.

The seemingly never-ending outperformance of US stocks vs. the rest of the world has investors wondering if they should throw in the towel on global and simply go with “made in America” for good.

The “debt ceiling” story continues to resurface and cause agitation; if not with the markets, then certainly with investors.

China’s objectives are a question that’s top of mind for many of our clients in recent months.

When thinking about a client’s stock portfolio, we believe that the Future is Unknowable and that Evidence, not hope, should drive decision making. As such, we do not believe in timing the…